Turnock, M.F., L.P. Waits, J.E. Teisberg, W.F. Kasworm, M.R. Falcy, and M.F. Proctor. 2024. Gene flow prevents genetic diversity loss despite small effective population size in fragmented grizzly bear (Ursus arctos) populations. Conservation Genetics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10592-024-01666-y
Abstract
Genetic monitoring is important in fragmented populations, particularly in small populations that rely on gene flow to maintain genetic diversity. Grizzly bear (Ursus arctos) populations in the Selkirk (SE) and Cabinet-Yaak (CYE) ecosystems are the smallest in North America and are near the southernmost extent of the species’ range. Both populations were isolated for generations but have recently experienced gene flow through natural migration and a population augmentation program. A long-term dataset of grizzly bear microsatellite genotypes from 1973-2021 presented a unique opportunity to examine genetic trends in the SE and CYE over time. We used this dataset of 464 bears to evaluate if gene flow affected observed heterozygosity (HO), expected heterozygosity (HE), allelic richness (AR), and average pairwise relatedness (r) in each of these populations. We also estimated effective population size (Ne) using the temporal and linkage disequilibrium (LD) methods. Post gene flow, AR increased in the Selkirk and Cabinet populations and r decreased in all three populations. We did not observe any changes in HE or HO, but HE values in our populations were significantly higher than those estimated using a model without gene flow. Our Ne estimates were consistent between the temporal and LD methods and ranged from 15.2-15.8, 15.4-17.5, and 5.6-8.9 for the Selkirk, Yaak, and Cabinet populations, respectively. Overall, our findings indicate that gene flow is increasing or maintaining genetic diversity in the SE and CYE. However, Ne remains low and additional connectivity or augmentation may be needed, particularly in the Cabinet population.