Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Units Program: Arizona
Education, Research and Technical Assistance for Managing Our Natural Resources


Chandler, H.C., C.L. Jenkins, and J.M. Bauder. 2022. Accounting for geographic variation in habitat associations during habitat suitability and connectivity modeling: A case study with the imperiled eastern indigo snake. Ecological Applications 2022:e2504. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2504

Abstract

Range-wide species conservation efforts are facilitated by spatially explicit esti-mates of habitat suitability. However, species-environment relationships oftenvary geographically and models assuming geographically constant relation-ships may result in misleading inferences. We present the first range-wide hab-itat suitability model (HSM) for the federally threatened eastern indigo snake(Drymarchon couperi) as a case study illustrating an approach to account forknown latitudinal variation in habitat associations. Specifically, we modeledhabitat suitability using interactive relationships between minimum wintertemperature and several a priori environmental covariates and compared ourresults to those from models assuming geographically constant relationships. Wefound that multi-scale models including interactive effects with winter tempera-ture outperformed single-scale models and models not including interactiveeffects with winter temperature. Our top-ranked model had suitable range-widepredictive performance and identified numerous large (i.e.,≥1000 ha) potentialhabitat patches throughout the indigo snake range. Predictive performance wasgreatest in southern Georgia and northernFlorida likely reflecting more restric-tive indigo snake habitat associations inthese regions. This study illustrates howmodeling interactive effects between temperature and environmental covariatescan improve the performance of HSMs across geographically varying environ-mental gradients.