Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Units Program: New Mexico
Education, Research and Technical Assistance for Managing Our Natural Resources

New Mexico Project


Population trends and predicted trajectories of American Pronghorn (Antilocapra americana) in the American Southwest

May 2013 - May 2016


Personnel

Participating Agencies

  • U.S Fish and Wildlife Service

Our objectives are to: 1) determine how widespread the decline in American pronghorn is in the Southwest; 2) identify causal, climatic factors which best explain these declines; 3) forecast the trend and geographical extent of these causal, climatic factors over the next century based on current climate change models for the region, including downscaled climate models developed at the SW CSC; and 4) relate these climatic forecasts to pronghorn population trends over future decades.

Research Publications Publication Date
Gedir, J.V., J.W. Cain III, G. Harris, and T.T. Turnbull. 2015. Effects of climate change on long-term population growth of pronghorn in an arid environment. Ecosphere 6: art 189. | Download October 2015
Presentations Presentation Date
Gedir, J.V., J.W. Cain III, G. Harris, and T.T Turnbull. 2015. Predicting long-term population dynamics of an ungulate in an arid environment in response to climate change. 5th International Wildlife Management Congress, Sapporo, Japan. July 2015
Gedir, J.V., J.W. Cain III, G. Harris, and T.T Turnbull. 2015. Predicting long-term pronghorn population dynamics in the southwest U.S.A. in response to climate change. 48th Joint Annual Meeting of the Arizona/New Mexico Chapters of The Wildlife Society, Las Cruces, New Mexico, USA. February 2015
Gedir, J.V., J.W. Cain III, G. Harris, and T.T. Turnbull. 2016. Predicting long-term pronghorn population dynamics in the Southwest in response to climate change. Pronghorn Workshop, Anaconda, Montana, USA. August 2016