Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Units Program: New Mexico
Education, Research and Technical Assistance for Managing Our Natural Resources

New Mexico Project


Assessment of drought impacts on selected fish and wildlife species in the southwestern U.S.

August 2013 - August 2017


Personnel

Participating Agencies

  • National Climate Change & Wildlife Science Center

We are studied the impacts of drought on desert bighorn sheep, American pronghorn, Rio Grande cutthroat trout, and scaled quail, including assessments of individual- (e.g., desert bighorn sheep) and population-level (e.g., pronghorn, cutthroat trout, scaled quail) responses to drought.

Our specific objectives for desert bighorn sheep were to investigate: 1) seasonal habitat selection patterns across widely differing climatic periods to determine if desert bighorn use certain habitat features and or behavioral mechanisms to cope with extreme drought; 2) changes in diet selection across climatic periods to determine which forage species are used as buffer resources to maintain populations during droughts; and 3) nutritional intake resulting from dietary shifts across climatic periods.

Our objectives for American pronghorn were to: 1) determine how widespread the decline in American pronghorn is in the Southwest; 2) identify causal, climatic factors which best explain these declines; 3) forecast the trend and geographical extent of these causal, climatic factors over the next century based on current climate change models for the region, including downscaled climate models developed at the SW CSC; and 4) relate these climatic forecasts to pronghorn population trends over future decades.

Our objectives for Rio Grande cutthroat trout were to monitor stream flow to identify periods of stream intermittency associated with drought conditions and model the relationship between habitat availability with landscape data to predict the relationship between stream flow and habitat availability.

The objectives for scaled quail were to study climate effects (temperature, humidity, and precipitation) preceding, during and following the nesting season with a primary focus on how these climate variables affect nest success.

Research Publications Publication Date
Gedir, J.V., J.W. Cain III, G. Harris, and T.T. Turnbull. 2015. Effects of climate change on long-term population growth of pronghorn in an arid environment. Ecosphere 6: art 189. | Download October 2015
Technical Publications Publication Date
Cain III, J.W., C.A. Caldwell, and S.A. Carleton. 2015. Assessment of drought impacts on selected fish and wildlife species in the southwestern U.S. 2014 Annual Progress Report to USGS Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center November 2015
Cain III, J.W., C.A. Caldwell, and S.A. Carleton. 2014. Assessment of Drought Impacts on Selected Fish and Wildlife Species in the Southwestern U.S. 2014 Annual Progress Report to USGS Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center. November 2014
Cain III, J.W., C.A. Caldwell, and S. Carleton. 2013. Assessment of Drought Impacts on Selected Fish and Wildlife Species in the Southwestern U.S. 2013 Annual Progress Report to USGS Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center. November 2013
Type Citation Publication Date
Data Release Gedir, J.V., and Cain III, J.W., 2018, Impact of Drought on Southwestern Pronghorn Population Trends and Predicted Trajectories in the Southwest in the Face of Climate Change: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/F76972HS February 2018
Data Release Cain, J.W., 2017, Extreme precipitation variability, forage quality and large herbivore diet selection in arid environments: US Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/F7B856CS. September 2017