Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Units Program: Maine
Education, Research and Technical Assistance for Managing Our Natural Resources

We propose to synthesize the available information on downstream migration into a modeling framework that can be used to predict migration of silver eels, using the Penobscot River as a model system. A predictive modeling framework will be adopted using a Bayesian forecasting approach . Bayesian forecasting has proven to be an effective way to use available information and summarize the probability of future scenarios. As such, they have become an important tool in ecological management. In addition, Bayesian forecasting models are adaptable such that they can be updated as new information becomes available.