Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Units Program: North Carolina
Education, Research and Technical Assistance for Managing Our Natural Resources

North Carolina Project

Coastal wetland dynamics and wildlife populations: modeling the effects of sea level rise and landscape change

September 2009 - August 2014


Participating Agencies

  • USGS, Patuxent Wildlife Research Center

(1) Develop hierarchical models of animal survey data collected at sites along the Atlantic coast in a variety of wetland habitats between Maine and Virginia. It is our intention to model variability in detection and spatial dependence. We will review life histories of the target species to select variables a priori to construct candidate model sets to have specious effects, especially when using a large number of covariates. We will also evaluate uncertainty with respect to use of this information for scaling down of global cuirculation models. (2) Link wildlife habitat models developed in objective (1) to outputs from models simulating the response of intertidal wetland complexes in the northeast to predicted sea level rise. This information will be provided by USGS Patuxent researchers